I'm not trying to be contrary here or have a line-by-line rebuttal even though it may come out that way
That's all rosy and warm 'n fuzzy ideal sounding....but also a condition pre-dating this exact flu topic by many decades. Thus..a totally separate issue.
That's exactly my point. You shouldn't be blaming the coronavirus for the decades-old problems that existed prior. So when you say "long-term immeasurable effects of coronavirus/lockdown" - It isn't. It's quite literally the effects of those long-term issues now coming home to roost.
My concern is..my family, my neighbors, my friends, my colleagues...most of which are in the same boat I'm in. Many of which...are doing worse...I'm lucky enough to have a job that is essential and still needed. I have lots of friends who...own small businesses, or work at businesses..that are not essential. Sure...many can work from home...but..their business type is such that they're dead in the water..so why work from home when there's nothing to do?
I'm not sure I'm fully grasping what you're trying to point out, here. Yes, if your 'work' isn't telecommutable or viable for remote, don't work. OK, I agree. The problem is that, in my eyes, people that are "out of a job" during this should have been taken care of and they were not. Instead, multi-national companies that made Billions in profits were "bailed out" to the tune of Trillions. Oil companies are getting bailed out, airlines are getting bailed out. We get $1200 per person for a 3-4 month "outage". Well, gee, thanks for that $2.50/hr pay (1200 \ 480 hours)! Whoopty doo! I'm soooo happy that corporations are getting bailed out into "profit" (not break-even) - of which WE will have to pay back. We privatize the gains and socialize the losses.
And..BTW...similar issues happening in other countries, many of which aren't doing as well as the US because some countries aren't doing bailouts/handouts.
I will happily accept whatever evidence you can point to to prove that - genuinely interested. From what I have been reading (not scientific nor taken as gospel; it's just too early IMO), the US is doing one of the worst jobs and is fairing the worst, or at least at the top of the list of the worst. Our problems stem from our "JIT" (Just in time) manufacturing (or lack thereof) and our being a "service economy". Most other countries have production of their own which allows them to produce for themselves... we have to "order" stuff from others. That's just one issue out of a dozen others I could fill this post with to compare/contrast other countries. NOTE: when I say "the US is one of the worst" I am/articles are comparing 1st world, "globalist" countries. Not Sudan, for instance. eg. Italy and Spain have had their own issues prior to CV19 that have caused extra anguish.... making them harder to directly compare.
The "safety net"...regardless of economy...that's often/usually within ones own control. If a person chooses to have a 3 month cushion, or a 6 month cushion, or a big 1 year rainy day fund...or...chooses to live paycheck by paycheck...much of that is a choice. Don't always have to get a new car every 3 years or a new 1,000 dollar iphone every other year. Many people just choose to live above their means.
Ya, but the numbers don't bear out what you state. Nor does the US fiscal policy of credit and debt. Let me start with Debt/Credit. Our entire system is based on Debt. If everyone were to "act responsibly" and
not get debt the system would crash and burn... that should tell you something about our fiscal policy and how debt is foisted upon us as "the way to go" - so, it makes it that much harder to blame the little guy for participating in a "debt system" when there is hardly an alternative. eg. Try to get a house or a car loan without prior debt... paid or unpaid. Try to get an apartment that isn't an absolute **** hole... good luck.
The cardinal sin in this country is being responsible... I'm a perfect example... 12 years ago I had never had debt, I always simply paid for the things I wanted. Well, that makes me "risky" for having no prior debt. Try getting a house? Nope. Try Getting a car note? Nope. Try getting a $2000 loan for a pro hard drive recovery/cloner(mostly to build credit) - from the bank you have been with for 8 years prior? Nope. I had to take on debt in the form of Credit Cards and loans that were co-signed by my parents... simply to build my "Credit". I was punished for "not owing anybody anything" and showing that I have lived the previous 10+ years of my life responsibly.
Secondly, by the numbers:
The average take home for the US worker is $39,129 per year (118 Million people) or $3261/month after taxes.
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The average take home for a household is $63,179/yr.
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The average US rent for a two bedroom apt is $1343 and is rising 4.1-5.5% YoY.
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The average Mortgage payment on median home price($257,000) is $1140 (30yr) or $1646(15yr) - avg of those is $1393.
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A family of four's grocery bill is avg of $1075/month.
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Health insurance on avg. for a single individual is $7188/yr or $20576/yr for a family.
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Utilities for a typical US family is $2060/yr.
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Car insurance avg is $1758/yr.
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Average Homeowners insurance is $1192/yr.
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So, let's talk "family" as opposed to "individual".
$63,179 - Family Take-Home
- $16,716/yr mortgage
- $12,900/yr Groceries
- $20,576/yr Health Insurance
- $2060/yr Utilities
- $1758/yr car insurance
- $1192/yr Homeowners insurance
That's $55,202 right there, nothing else. That leaves only $7,977/yr of "discretionary spending", or $664.75/mo.
Now factor in clothes, gas, car repairs... other normal things that we all have to deal with
Avg fuel and maintenance costs for a "small sedan" @ 15K miles /yr is $6354/yr.
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Clothing/Clothing services for a household, avg is $1604/yr.
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That leaves you with $19 left over FOR THE YEAR.
So, it's not hard to see why people are cash-strapped when you do the numbers. It's not iPhones and new cars every three years, as you say. I know you were simply using those as examples for sake of argument... but let's look at that too... Are people really spending on frivolous items? Is a cell phone not a necessity in this day and age?
The US population in totality is 328-331 Million people.
The US sold 17 Million vehicles in totality, for 2019. That doesn't sound like everyone is buying cars. At this rate, people are keeping their cars for 19.4 years! (331 \ 17=19.4).
As for phones.. that can be a mixed bag.. 185 Million iPhones were sold in 2019, down from 200 Million in 2018. The kicker is that the $599 iPhone XR was the best selling at 48% of sales... the $1000 iPhone only captured 9% of sales.
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Really, though.. when you work through it.. it's not hard to see why people are cash-strapped... and IMO, it isn't because they're all out there spending like drunken sailors. It's because Health insurance is rising 5%+ every year. It's because everything is getting more "expensive" to the tune of 5-12% YoY(depending on sector) while wages have stayed relatively the same (less than 2.5% avg. YoY wage growth up until 2017). From the 1980's wage growth has halved. Costs didn't. Inflation didn't. There's the problem.
